AT THE CAL U WEATHER CENTER THE CURRENT TEMPERATURE IS 47.8F WITH WNW WINDS AT 9MPH. PRESSURE IS AT 1021.33MB AND RISING. THE CURRENT DEW POINT IS 24F.

UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS...

AT THE 250 MB HEIGHTS PRIMARILY ZONAL FLOW IS IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTH AMERICA. A TROUGH IS EVIDENT ACROSS MUCH OF MICHGAN, WISCONSIN AND MINNESOTA. AT 500MB, THE SAME TROUGH IS EASILY APPRECIABLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS ARE AT 85KTS ACROSS MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN. IN THE UPPER LEVELS A RIDGE IS BUILDING ACROSS MOST OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE HIGH PLANES REGION. AT 700MB, A LARGE AREA OF DIVERGENCE IS EVIDENT OVER TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. AT 850MB, THE LOW PRESSURE RESONPSIBLE FOR THE AFORMENTIONED TROUGH IS VISIBLE OVER ONTATIO, CANADA. THE LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS CLEARLY EVIDENT OVER TEXAS. ISENTROPIC ANALYSIS REVEALS A LARGE MOISTURE TONGUE EXTENDING ACROSS TEXAS, OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS. THERE IS NOTICABLE DOWNSLOPING FROM THE AREA OF MOIST AIR INTO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. DOWNSLOPING IS EVIDENT INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. STREAMLINE ANALYSIS AT 850MB SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF DIVERGENCE CONSISTENT WITH THE HP OVER TEXAS.

THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...

SKEW-T LOG-P EXAMINATION FOR KPIT AT 12Z REVEALS A HYDROLAPSE AT 500MB BELOW THAT LEVEL, ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE CONTINUALLY DRY INTO THE JET. BELOW, CONDITIONS ARE RELATIVELY MOIST. THIS ACCOUNTS FOR THE DRY CONDITIONS INTO THE AFTERNOON AS WELL AS THE CUMULIFORM CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

SURFACE ANALYSIS...

AT THE SURFACE A 1030MB HIGH PRESSURE IS SHOWN OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A TYPICAL ROCKY-MOUNTAIN HIGH OF 1034MB IS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO. A 1010MB LOW IS EVIDENT OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND IS CONSISTENT WITH UL ANALYSIS. OVER TIME, THE LOW OVER ONTARIO MOVES OFF TO THE NORTH AND EAST WHILE THE HP OVER MISSOURI BEGINS TO MOVE EASTWARD WHILE STRENGTHENING TO 1030MB BY 21Z. WIND VECTORS SHOW STRONG WINDS MOVING FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO OUR AREA. CURRENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES REPORT LIGHT RAIN OVER MICHICGAN AND PARTS OF PENNSYLVANIA AND THE NORTHEAST. LIGHT RAIN IS ALSO EVIDENT OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

REMOTE SENSING ANALYSIS...

VISIBLE SATELLITE ANALYSIS SHOWS CLOUDCOVER ONLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. RADAR ANALYSIS SHOWS VERY LIGHT PRECIP ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST WITH HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVER WESTERN NEW YORK STATE. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO EVIDENT ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON AS A NEW SYSTEM PUSHES ON SHORE OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT IS VISIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE HIGH PLANES INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WATER VAPOR SHOWS A LARGE SWATH OF DRY AIR ACROSS THE SOUTERN STATES WITH MOISTURE PUSHING INTO THE ROCKIES AND PACIFIC NORTHWEST AT THE SURFACE.

AS PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD ALONG WITH A WEAK COLDFRONT, THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE INTO THE NIGHT, WITH RELATIVELY CLEAR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING INTO EARLY TOMORROW.