CURRENTLY THE CAL U WEATHER CENTER IS UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH A TEMP OF 57F AND A DEW POINT OF 48F. THE WINDS ARE LIGHT FROM 1-3MPH OUT OF THE WNW WITH A PRESSURE OF 1021.3 AND STEADY.

UPPER LVL AT THE 250 MB LVL SHOW A REAL DEEP TROUGH TO OUR WEST OVER MT, WY, CO, NM AND EVEN DOWN INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. THE FLOW AT THE 250MB LVL IS COMPLETELY MERIDIONAL WITH THE TROUGH IN THE WEST AND A RIDGE OF THE NEW ENGLAND STATES. THIS DEEP TROUGH COULD ALLOW FOR SOME COLDER AIR FROM THE NORTH CREEP DOWN INTO THE UPPER LVLS. THE STRONGEST JET STREAK IN THE TROUGH IS LOCATED OVER THE PANHANDLE OF TX AND IS 135KTS. MOVING DOWN INTO THE 500MB LVL THE DEEP TROUGH IS STILL THERE BUT THERE IS NOW A 5460 LOW LOCATED WITH IN THE TROUGH. ALSO AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH THERE IS A STRONG WIND GRADIENT DOWN INTO MEXICO AT THIS LAYER. THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA IN MEXICO AND ARE AT 115KTS. HOWEVER THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE CONUS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH ARE 80KTS AND LOCATED OVER THE PANHANDLE OF TX. WITH HOW DEEP THIS TROUGH IS IT STILL ALLOWS THE COLD AIR FROM THE NORTH TO COME DOWN FROM CANADA AT THIS LVL AS WELL. IN NEW ENGLAND WHERE THE RIDGE IS LOCATED THE STRONGEST WINDS AT THE 500MB LVL ARE 50 KTS LOCATED AROUND THE CENTER OF NEW ENGLAND. AT THE 850 MB LVL THE TROUGH IS NOT AS DEEP AND THE LOW HAS EXPANDED A LITTLE MORE THE THE NORTH AND EAST INTO NE, BESIDES NE THE LOW IS LOCATED OVER MUCH OF CO AND NM. THE COLD AIR IS STILL PERSISTENT AT THIS LAYER WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR SOME TYPE OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION TO FALL. THE STRONG WIND GRADIENT IS NOW LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS STILL IN TX BUT TO THE SOUTH AT 55KTS LOCATED IN WEST/CENTRAL TX. THERE IS ALSO STRONGER UPPER LVL WINDS LOCATED OVER OK/MO. THE ISENTROP ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THERE IS A GREAT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE MOVING IN FROM THE GULF INTO THE AREA OF THE LOW, WHICH MEANS THAT THERE COULD BE SOME PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THAT SYSTEM. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM SOME OF THE PRECIP COULD BE FROZEN SINCE PREVIOUS ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THERE IS COLDER AIR IN THE UPPER LVLS.

AT THE SURFACE, THERE IS A SURFACE LOW THAT CORRESPONDS WITH THE UPPER LVL LOW THAT WE SAW EARLIER. IT STARTED EARLIER IN CO AS A 1004 LOW BUT HAS DEEPENED SLIGHTLY TO A 1000 LOW AS IT HAS PROGRESSED TO THE EAST. IT CURRENTLY RESIDES OVER KS AND OK AT THE MO BORDER. THERE IS A TIGHT TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ACROSS TX THAT INDICATES THERE IS A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH AS IT GOES FROM 80F IN ONE PART OF THE STATE TO 45 F IN ANOTHER IN A RATHER SHORT DISTANCE. TO THE EAST OF THE LOW THE ISOBARS ARE ALSO CLOSE TOGETHER WHICH MEANS THAT WITHIN THAT AREA IT WILL GET WINDY. THE STREAMLINES AT THE SURFACE CONFIRM THAT THERE IS A LOW LOCATED OVER OK AND KS AND YOU CAN SEE THE CONVERGENCE THAT EXISTS ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THERE IS ALSO SOME CONVERGENCE TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW.

THE VIS SHOWS THAT THROUGH OUT THE SYSTEM IN THE MID US IS PRODUCING A WIDE AREA OF CLOUD COVER, WITH SOME HIGHER CLOUD TOPS IN MO, KS, OK, AND AR WHICH COULD MEAN SOME STRONGER STORMS ARE LOCATED THERE. THE IR SHOWS THE SAME THING WITH ONLY A SMALLER LINE OF HIGHER TOPPED CLOUDS LOCATED IN THE REGION OF INTEREST. THE WV LIMITS IT DOWN THAT THE STRONGER AREA OF INTEREST IN LOCATE IN LA INSTEAD OF THE AREAS FIRST NOTED, ALTHOUGH THOSE AREAS ARE STILL OF GREAT INTEREST. THE RADAR SHOWS THAT THERE IS A STRONG LINE OF STORMS THAT STRETCHES FROM MO, ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO TX. JUST TO THE EAST OF IT THERE IS ANOTHER LINE OF STRONG STORMS THAT STRETCHES FROM AR AND BACK INTO TX AS WELL. THIS AREA COULD BE IN FOR A LONG COUPLE OF DAYS IF THE STORMS DO NOT WEAKEN ANY.

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS THE FA SHOULD SEE TEMPS DECREASE SLIGHTLY AS RAIN IS GOING TO MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND AND EXIST THROUGHOUT THE WHOLE WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL START THE NEXT WEEK IN THE MID 50S WITH LITTLE CLOUDS.